Shutdown countdown on, these are the hurdles standing in the way of a deal

Lisa Desjardins:

We actually have some breaking news, Judy.

Just minutes ago, our Capitol Hill producer, Julie Percha, was outside a meeting with the Freedom Caucus and Speaker Paul Ryan, Freedom Caucus, the conservative group.

Leader Mark Meadows says the speaker has offered him a deal, to add more for the Defense Department in this C.R. They don't say what that is exactly, but the Freedom Caucus chairman says he likes that deal. He is going to take it back to his conference.

And, Judy, I think what this means is that passage of this short-term spending bill has become much more likely in the House tonight. But that is not the endgame here. There are still very serious problems in the Senate.

And, in fact, let's look at the no votes we learned about today in a graphic. Republican no votes that we know of publicly, Lindsey Graham, Rand Paul, Mike Rounds, and we also think Mike Lee may in fact be a no vote, just not stated yet.

But there are also Democratic no votes. These are five Democrats who voted yes in December, Judy. They are all no votes now. Why does that matter?

Because you figure out the math, and with John McCain absent right now, Republicans need some 14 Democrats in the Senate to pass a short-term spending bill. With those five Democrats as a no, they don't have it.

So this House bill is dead on arrival in the Senate. If that is the only bill in town, that means we will have a shutdown.

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